Live Wholesale Market
The wholesale electricity market is where retailers buy power before adding network costs, levies, and margins to set your retail rate. Wholesale prices do not directly determine your bill, but sustained movements in the spot market flow through to retail pricing within 12 to 18 months as retailers reprice their hedging books.
Retail vs Wholesale — The Margin Visible
The live NEM spot price sits alongside the AER regulated retail reference rate. The margin column reflects network charges, environmental levies, metering, and retailer profit — the components that sit between the generator and your meter.
| State | Wholesale spot ($/MWh) | Wholesale equiv (c/kWh) | AER retail ref (c/kWh) | Retail margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wholesale: AEMO NEM 5-minute dispatch interval, live. Retail: AER Default Market Offer 2025–26 usage charge, flat rate equivalent.
State-by-State Comparison
Default offer rates and standing offer tariffs under AER regulated pricing for 2025–26. Rates shown are reference prices (c/kWh usage charge, flat rate equivalent).
| State | Rate (c/kWh) | Est. annual bill | vs national avg | Regulator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New South Wales | 33.8 | $2,129 | Near average | AER |
| Victoria | 32.4 | $2,041 | Below average | AER / ESC |
| Queensland | 31.9 | $2,010 | Below average | AER / QCA |
| South Australia | 47.1 | $2,967 | Highest in nation | AER |
| Western Australia | 30.5 | $1,922 | Below average | ERA (state) |
| Tasmania | 29.8 | $1,877 | Below average | OTTER |
| ACT | 25.2 | $1,588 | Lowest in nation | AER / ICRC |
| Northern Territory | 26.8 | $1,688 | Near average | Utilities Comm. |
Source: AER Default Market Offer 2025–26. Annual bill estimate based on 6,300 kWh usage. Actual bills vary significantly by retailer, tariff type and household consumption.
| State | Rate (c/MJ) | Est. annual bill | vs national avg | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New South Wales | 6.8 | $1,428 | Near average | Network regulated |
| Victoria | 6.2 | $1,302 | Below average | Retail market |
| Queensland | 7.4 | $1,554 | Above average | Limited reticulation |
| South Australia | 7.9 | $1,659 | Above average | Supply constraints |
| Western Australia | 5.8 | $1,218 | Below average | State subsidised |
| ACT | 6.5 | $1,365 | Near average | Electrification push |
Source: AER retail gas data 2025. Annual bill estimate based on 21,000 MJ usage. Tasmania and NT not included — reticulated gas not widely available.
Electricity Price Trend
Average residential electricity tariff movement over the past three years, weighted national average.
Source: AER retail electricity statistics. Rates shown are weighted national averages including all charges on a flat-rate equivalent basis.
What Drives Household Energy Costs
Network charges — the poles, wires and pipes that deliver energy to homes — make up approximately 40–50% of a household electricity bill. These are set by regulated network businesses and reviewed by the AER every five years. The current regulatory period runs to 2025–26 and locked in significant network investment costs from the transition to renewables.
Wholesale electricity prices reflect the cost of generating power and are determined by the National Electricity Market (NEM). South Australia's high retail prices largely reflect its grid structure and historically high wholesale price exposure, though its growing share of rooftop solar is starting to bring average bills down.
The energy transition is creating short-term cost pressure even as it promises long-term relief. Retiring coal plants require replacement with new capacity — gas, batteries, and transmission — which has upward pressure on network charges in the current period. The federal government's Energy Bill Relief Fund has provided targeted rebates that have partially offset bill increases for eligible households.
Gas price dynamics have been particularly sharp in eastern Australia since 2022. Australia exports significant volumes of LNG, which has tethered domestic gas prices more closely to international prices than was historically the case. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has monitored the domestic gas market closely and flagged concerns about supply adequacy.
Estimate Your Annual Energy Bill
Select your state and household size to see how your electricity and gas costs compare to the national average, and what solar saves you.
Energy Bill Estimator
State-specific electricity rates, household size, and solar offset — live.
AER 2025–26 Default Market Offers. Solar saving ~30% reduction for average 6.6kW system. Varies by usage patterns and retailer. Not financial advice.